Not to poke holes in your theory, but I am a day 2 res holder and I was pushed into 2022 without any build date in sight. I believe you are correct when you say the dealer allocation debacle has pretty much over taken the reservations. I was number 14 at my dealer for orders, so god only knows when my build date will scheduled.
Almost all day 2 or 7/14 reservation holder that stuck with Wildtraks were pushed to 22. Of the very few retail wildtraks built the overwhelming majority were day 1 reservation holder (still didn't guarantee a build date, like the FEs), priority builds at your dealer or just got lucky with just the right dealer and a really early build date before they started sequestering MIC tops for FEs, etc., Most of the early build dates ended up on dirt mountain or their build date was pushed, and pushed, and pushed.
Welcome to the club, early day 2 as well, 'buildable' order from the beginning (that is not officially 99'd and not a mod top or duel). No build date in sight, but 'my dealer feels' I have to get one in December...... not holding my breath, after seeing what transpired this last go around. But hey, it's just a vehicle.....
95 Eddie 5.8 Windsor 2021? nope, 2022?, wait 2022.5 HOSS3.0 equipped WildTrak/LUX/Leather/MIC. 7/14 RES
6GENBRONCOFAN, ResidualGenius